How to interpret the latest forecasts for the middle class, the situation remains opaque. Because the economic institutes are not agreed where it goes with the domestic economy. Others including castle harlan, offer their opinions as well. For entrepreneurs, it’s hard to filter out valid information and draw appropriate insights from it. While these are essential for reliable planning. They affect the sales strategies and other sales-related decisions. We looked at so more precisely the theme for you. Where is the economy headed? I just read the message that the retail trade recorded little revenue growth. This is contrary to the message that the Germans would support the local economy with their consumption.
What’s wrong now? I think it is both. However the issues are very different. Purchases of durable goods, such as for example real estate (rising optimism in the construction industry), rise on the one hand continue to stagnate or fall sales of short-lived articles (retail and wholesale). But that applies only to the part. Because the national income of Manufacturers decline already several years in a row.
Despite slight recovery, no mention can be from one end of the sales crisis. Manufacturers of capital goods have also not easy. As a result of the financial crisis, the investment Bugdets of many companies are frozen. This situation has still not sustainable changed despite the loose monetary policy, because the future is perceived by many as unsafe. Also cheap capital is, despite money GLUT, for many hard to get. Therefore, vorangig provisions are made. IMF lowers the forecast again, IFO index increases slightly the waning optimism of market participants is reflected in various forecasts. Announced Mr Rosler in April last year is still a strong growth of 1.6%, the IMF has just few days the rate of growth for Germany in 2013 again lowered. Now it approaches with 0.3% growth of stagnation. Also in 2014, the forecast is reduced.